We live on a planet careening toward environmental collapse that will be largely brought about by our own actions. And yet we struggle to grasp the scale of the crisis, barely able to imagine the effects of climate change just ten years from now, let alone the multi-millennial timescales of Earth's past and future life span. In this book, Vincent Ialenti offers a guide for envisioning the planet's far future--to become, as he terms it, more skilled deep time reckoners. The challenge, he says, is to learn to inhabit a longer now.
Ialenti takes on two overlapping crises: the Anthropocene, our current moment of human-caused environmental transformation; and the deflation of expertise--today's popular mockery and institutional erosion of expert authority. The second crisis, he argues, is worsening the effects of the first. Hearing out scientific experts who study a wider time span than a Facebook timeline is key to tackling our planet's emergency. Astrophysicists, geologists, historians, evolutionary biologists, climatologists, archaeologists, and others can teach us the art of long-termism.
For a case study in long-term thinking, Ialenti turns to Finland's nuclear waste repository "Safety Case" experts. These scientists forecast far future glaciations, climate changes, earthquakes, and more, over the coming tens of thousands--or even hundreds of thousands or millions--of years. They are not pop culture "futurists" but data-driven, disciplined technical experts, using the power of patterns to construct detailed scenarios and quantitative models of the far future. This is the kind of time literacy we need if we are to survive the Anthropocene.
Ideas for a changing world. Exploring across technology, governance, philosophy, and culture in an era of Great Transformations. #IdeasMatter
.@vincent_ialenti delivered numerous lectures & papers on “deep time thinking,” in which policymakers consider the world at millennia-long time scales. This expands on his 2020 book, “Deep Time Reckoning: How Future Thinking Can Help Earth Now.” https://t.co/rCySXGekuH
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Congrats to @vincent_ialenti, author of Deep Time Reckoning, on this exciting development! https://t.co/bMdxPmxE9p
Environmental historian. Professor @UniStavanger. Co-editor @EnvHumanities. Extinction; animal history. Look for me on bsky & @dollyjorgensen@mastodon.nu
Join us Monday, 25 October 2021: Vincent Ialenti will discuss his book Deep Time Reckoning: How Future Thinking Can Help Earth Now (@mitpress, 2020) in the Greenhouse environmental humanities book talk series at 16:00 Central European time. Info here: http://newnatures.org/greenhouse/events/booktalk/online-book-talk-ialenti-deep-time-reckoning/ https://t.co/mmaevDwd47
"Finland's nuclear waste safety case project is one of the most extraordinarily large-minded human endeavors. Reading Deep Time Reckoning is, likewise, a mind-expanding experience. Both sober and open to wonder, Vincent Ialenti makes deep time tangible." - David Farrier, author of Footprints: In Search of Future Fossils
"Ialenti captures a world of possibilities, a future that is not as gloomy as it looks to many. In a secularized world of short-term profit-making, Ialenti points to deep time, inviting the reader to explore alternative futures and timescales in order to plot a way out of our current ecological predicaments." - Kate Brown, Professor of Science, Technology, and Society, MIT; author of Manual for Survival: A Chernobyl Guide to the Future