The world is changing fast. Political risk-the probability that a political action could significantly impact a company's business-is affecting more businesses in more ways than ever before. A generation ago, political risk mostly involved a handful of industries dealing with governments in a few frontier markets. Today, political risk stems from a widening array of actors, including Twitter users, local officials, activists, terrorists, hackers, and more. The very institutions and laws that were supposed to reduce business uncertainty and risk are often having the opposite effect. In today's globalized world, there are no "safe" bets.
POLITICAL RISK investigates and analyzes this evolving landscape, what businesses can do to navigate it, and what all of us can learn about how to better understand and grapple with these rapidly changing global political dynamics. Drawing on lessons from the successes and failures of companies across multiple industries as well as examples from aircraft carrier operations, NASA missions, and other unusual places, POLITICAL RISK offers a first-of-its-kind framework that can be deployed in any organization, from startups to Fortune 500 companies.
Organizations that take a serious, systematic approach to political risk management are likely to be surprised less often and recover better. Companies that don't get these basics right are more likely to get blindsided.
Amy Zegart is the Davies Family Senior Fellow at the Hoover Institution; Senior Fellow and Co-Director of Stanford University's Center for International Security and Cooperation; and professor of Political Science, by courtesy. She is the author of three books about U.S. intelligence challenges: Flawed by Design: The Evolution of the CIA, JCS, and NSC; Spying Blind: The CIA, the FBI, and the Origins of 9/11; and Eyes on Spies: Congress and the United States Intelligence Community.