The co-op bookstore for avid readers
Book Cover for: The Leading Indicators: A Short History of the Numbers That Rule Our World, Zachary Karabell

The Leading Indicators: A Short History of the Numbers That Rule Our World

Zachary Karabell

The Leading Indicators was widely and well received as a much needed corrective to the outdated, outmoded economic figures we are accustomed. Every day, we are bombarded with numbers that tell us how we are doing, whether the economy is growing or shrinking, whether the future looks bright or dim. Gross national product, balance of trade, unemployment, inflation, and consumer confidence guide our actions, yet few of us know where they come from, what they mean, or why they rule our world.

Zachary Karabell tells the fascinating history of these indicators, which were invented in the mid-twentieth century to address the urgent challenges of the Great Depression, World War II, and the Cold War. They were rough measures--designed to give clarity in a data-parched world that was made up of centralized, industrial nations--yet we still rely on them today.

Today's world is shaped by information technology and the borderless flow of capital and goods. If we follow a 1950s road map for a twenty-first-century world, we will get lost.

What is urgently needed is not to invent a new set of numbers but to tap into the data revolution that offers unparalleled access to the information we need. Companies should not base their business plans on GDP projections; individuals should not decide whether to buy a home or get a degree based on the national unemployment rate. If you want to buy a home, look for a job, start a company or run a business, you can readily find your own indicators. National housing figures don't matter; local ones do. You can find those at the click of button. Personal, made-to-order indicators will meet our needs today, and the revolution is well underway. We need only to join it.

Book Details

  • Publisher: Simon & Schuster
  • Publish Date: Dec 30th, 2014
  • Pages: 304
  • Language: English
  • Edition: undefined - undefined
  • Dimensions: 8.40in - 5.60in - 0.70in - 0.50lb
  • EAN: 9781451651225
  • Categories: EconometricsEconomic HistoryUnited States - General

More books to explore

Book Cover for: The Big Short: Inside the Doomsday Machine, Michael Lewis
Book Cover for: Crashed: How a Decade of Financial Crises Changed the World, Adam Tooze
Book Cover for: Capital in the Twenty-First Century, Thomas Piketty
Book Cover for: Kochland: The Secret History of Koch Industries and Corporate Power in America, Christopher Leonard
Book Cover for: Ages of American Capitalism: A History of the United States, Jonathan Levy
Book Cover for: Shutdown: How Covid Shook the World's Economy, Adam Tooze
Book Cover for: Power and Progress: Our Thousand-Year Struggle Over Technology and Prosperity, Daron Acemoglu
Book Cover for: Capital and Ideology, Thomas Piketty
Book Cover for: Oceans of Grain: How American Wheat Remade the World, Scott Reynolds Nelson
Book Cover for: Economic Origins of Dictatorship and Democracy, Daron Acemoglu
Book Cover for: Culinary Ephemera: An Illustrated History Volume 30, William Weaver
Book Cover for: Transaction Man: Traders, Disrupters, and the Dismantling of Middle-Class America, Nicholas Lemann
Book Cover for: Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order: Why Nations Succeed and Fail, Ray Dalio
Book Cover for: Slouching Towards Utopia: An Economic History of the Twentieth Century, J. Bradford DeLong
Book Cover for: The Economists' Hour: False Prophets, Free Markets, and the Fracture of Society, Binyamin Appelbaum

About the Author

Karabell, Zachary: - Zachary Karabell is an author, money manager, commentator, and president of River Twice Research, where he analyzes economic and political trends. Educated at Columbia, Oxford, and Harvard, where he received his PhD, Karabell has written eleven previous books. He is a regular commentator on CNBC, MSNBC, and CNN. He writes the weekly "Edgy Optimist" column for Reuters and The Atlantic, and is a contributor to such publications as The Daily Beast, Time, The Wall Street Journal, The New Republic, The New York Times, and Foreign Affairs.

More books by Zachary Karabell

Book Cover for: Chester Alan Arthur, Zachary Karabell
Book Cover for: Parting the Desert: The Creation of the Suez Canal, Zachary Karabell
Book Cover for: Peace Be Upon You: Fourteen Centuries of Muslim, Christian, and Jewish Conflict and Cooperation, Zachary Karabell
Book Cover for: Architects of Intervention: The United States, the Third World, and the Cold War, 1946--1962, Zachary Karabell
Book Cover for: Inside Money: Brown Brothers Harriman and the American Way of Power, Zachary Karabell
Book Cover for: The Last Campaign: How Harry Truman Won the 1948 Election, Zachary Karabell
Book Cover for: What's College For?: The Struggle to Define American Higher Education, Zachary Karabell
Book Cover for: Superfusion: How China and America Became One Economy and Why the World's Prosperity Depends on It, Zachary Karabell
Book Cover for: A Visionary Nation: Four Centuries of American Dreams and What Lies Ahead, Zachary Karabell
Book Cover for: Sustainable Excellence: The Future of Business in a Fast-Changing World, Aron Cramer

Praise for this book

"Zachary Karabell's lively account, The Leading Indicators, is a terrific introduction to the range of statistics economists and governments use to address these questions."-- "The New York Times"
"Karabell offers an engaging account of the history of these indicators, and his explanation of their flaws is both readable and useful for
non-economists trying to make sense of the barrage of numbers with which they're pelted on a regular basis."-- "The Wall Street Journal"
"[The Leading Indicators] demystifies a lot of current debates, explains its subject matter clearly and shows that the major published macroeconomic statistics are neither nonsense nor conspiracy. Most people could read this book with enjoyment and profit."--Tyler Cowen "The Washington Post"
"How did we get to the era of Big Data? Karabell...mines little known tidbits in the history of economics to explain how individuals, companies, and countries came to rely on statistics like unemployment, inflation, and gross domestic product to describe the wealth of nations....In Karabell's hands economics is no longer 'the dismal science.' More storyteller than analyst here, he succeeds in livening up how 'the economy' came to be"-- "Publishers Weekly"
"The Leading Indicators presents a potentially dry but important topic in an engaging manner, with wit and intelligence."-- "The Cleveland Plain Dealer"
"[A] lucid measurement of how the United States is faring. . . . Readers of this intelligent introduction to iconic economic indices will agree that Karabell makes an excellent case."-- "Kirkus Reviews"
"Our understanding of the economy is shaped by the numbers we use to measure it. In this engaging and subversive history, Zachary Karabell tells the story of how the indicators came to rule us, who invented them, what they actually tell us, and why we need to rethink all of them if we are to make sense of the world today."--Justin Fox, Executive Editor, Harvard Business Review
"To any who treat the government's economic data as if it were Holy Writ, Zachary Karabell's book will come as a revelation. The Leading Indicators is the fast-paced story of the statistics that occupy far too large a part of our national consciousness. If you always suspected that the GDP was a snare and the CPI a delusion, Karabell's narrative will tell you just how right you were."--James Grant, Editor, Grant's Interest Rate Observer
"We live in a world of Big Data, and we are led to believe that it contains the truth of our lives. But the numbers that we use to tally our wealth, our productivity, and our very worth as human beings are based not on any absolute truth, but on the shifting sands of politics, culture, and the personal quirks of our leaders. Zachary Karabell is a thinker who understands why economics isn't a hard science. The Leading Indicators is a much needed book about economic numbers that tells us how much--and how little--they ultimately mean."--Rana Foroohar, Assistant Managing Editor, Time Magazine; Global Economic Analyst, CNN
"An enchanting primer on the origins and foibles of our economic numbers, marked with biting critique--and building toward the case for something new, different and adapted to the digital age."--James K. Galbraith, Professor, UT-Austin, and author of Inequality and Instability
"An amusing and eye-opening romp through the history of the powerful numbers, such as the unemployment and inflation rates, that influence the course of national policy. They're not only out of date, they often point us in the wrong direction. Karabell's surprising book shows that we don't know what we think we know, and trillions of dollars hang in the balance."--Jane Bryant Quinn, author of Making the Most of Your Money NOW