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The Paradox of Power Sino-American Strategic Restraint in an Age of Vulnerability
The second half of the 20th century featured a strategic competition between the United States and the Soviet Union. That competition avoided World War III in part because during the 1950s, scholars like Henry Kissinger, Thomas Schelling, Herman Kahn, and Albert Wohlstetter analyzed the fundamental nature of nuclear deterrence. Decades of arms control negotiations reinforced these early notions of stability and created a mutual understanding that allowed U.S.-Soviet competition to proceed without armed conflict. The first half of the 21st century will be dominated by the relationship between the United States and China. That relationship is likely to contain elements of both cooperation and competition. Territorial disputes such as those over Taiwan and the South China Sea will be an important feature of this competition, but both are traditional disputes, and traditional solutions suggest themselves. A more difficult set of issues relates to U.S.-Chinese competition and cooperation in three domains in which real strategic harm can be inflicted in the current era: nuclear, space, and cyber. Just as a clearer understanding of the fundamental principles of nuclear deterrence maintained adequate stability during the Cold War, a clearer understanding of the characteristics of these three domains can provide the underpinnings of strategic stability between the United States and China in the decades ahead. That is what this book is about. David Gompert and Phillip Saunders assess the prospect of U.S.- Chinese competition in these domains and develop three related analytic findings upon which their recommendations are built. The first is that in each domain, the offense is dominant. The second is that each side will be highly vulnerable to a strike from the other side. And the third is that the retaliating side will still be able to do unacceptable damage to the initiating party. Therefore, the authors make an important recommendation: that the United States propose a comprehensive approach based on mutual restraint whereby it and China can mitigate their growing strategic vulnerabilities. Unlike the Cold War, this mutual restraint regime may not take the form of binding treaties. But patterns of understanding and restraint may be enough to maintain stability. Center for the Study of Chinese Military Affairs, Institute for National Strategic Studies, National Defense University Press.
Book Details
- Publisher: Createspace Independent Publishing Platform
- Publish Date: Apr 20th, 2012
- Pages: 226
- Language: English
- Edition: undefined - undefined
- Dimensions: 9.21in - 6.14in - 0.48in - 0.71lb
- EAN: 9781475232738
- Categories: • Asia - China• International Relations - Diplomacy• Military - Strategy
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About the Author
DAVID C. GOMPERT is Distinguished Research Fellow in the Center for Strategic Research, Institute for National Strategic Studies, at the National Defense University (NDU), a Professor for National Security Studies at the U.S. Naval Academy, and an Adjunct Fellow of the RAND Corporation. From 2009 to 2010, he was Principal Deputy Director of National Intelligence. Mr. Gompert also has been a senior executive in the information technology industry, Vice President of the RAND Corporation and President of RAND Europe, Special Assistant to President George H.W. Bush and Secretary of State Henry Kissinger, and a senior official in the State Department. He has published extensively on international affairs, national security policy, and information technology. He holds a Bachelor of Science degree in Engineering from the U.S. Naval Academy and a Master of Public Affairs degree from the Woodrow Wilson School at Princeton University. PHILIP C. SAUNDERS is a Distinguished Research Fellow and Director of Studies in the Center for Strategic Research, Institute for National Strategic Studies, at the National Defense University (NDU). He also serves as Director of the Center for the Study of Chinese Military Affairs. Dr. Saunders previously worked at the Monterey Institute of International Studies, where he was Director of the East Asia Nonproliferation Program from 1999 to 2003, and served as an officer in the U.S. Air Force from 1989 to 1994. Dr. Saunders has published numerous articles and book chapters on China and Asian security issues. He attended Harvard College and received his M.P.A. and Ph.D. in International Relations from the Woodrow Wilson School at Princeton University.